Since the new troop surge strategy was announced in January 2007, a National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) warned that the existing political arrangement in Iraq was problematic, the Arab League called for “a national government for all Iraqis,” and a number of leading donors involved in negotiations aimed at creating an International Compact for Iraq raised objections over an Iraqi government that has consistently failed to implement its promises toward national reconciliation. The absence of such a government is continuing to limit the possibility of significant reductions in violence in Iraq. Nevertheless, near-term changes in U.S. policy toward that end are not likely.In January 2007, the NIE warned that “given the current winner-take-all attitude and sectarian animosities infecting the political scene, Iraqi leaders will be hard pressed to achieve sustained political reconciliation in the timeframe of this Estimate [12-18 months].” To date, the current sectarian leadership in Baghdad has undertaken little meaningful effort toward political reconciliation and the international community is growing increasingly impatient. On April 25, The Washington Post reported:The resolution on the International Compact includes the same kind of conditions inherent in the U.S. decision to deploy more troops this spring in Iraq. The government of Prime Minister Nouri… Read full this story
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